Apple Announces CarPlay

After announcing iOS in the Car at WWDC last June, they finally gave some more details today when they announced CarPlay at an auto show in Geneva. I'm really hoping that there's some way to update my Nissan to be CarPlay compatible, but I highly doubt it. I just bought my car a year ago, and this is exactly the type of thing that I've been waiting for. It's not at all safe to manually use your phone while driving, but being able to use it "eyes-free" and hands-free would be great. 

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Cutting the Cable Cord

I've been wanting to cut the cord for a couple of years now, but have been putting it off because there are still some things for which cable TV is more convenient. Live sports, Olympics, and events like the Oscars and Grammys and are just easier to watch on cable. Even though cable boxes are terrible pieces of technology — channel guides have brutal lag and ugly user interfaces — it's still really easy to flick on the TV and sit down on the couch. 

But there's a pretty big cost to keeping cable. I have an excellent "retentions" cable package that I got by threatening to cancel, but it's still almost $80 per month after tax. I pay over $900 per year for a service that I rarely use and don't even really like. I don't watch commercials if I can help it. My DVR only has two tuners and not nearly enough capacity that I don't have to end up prioritizing shows that I want to keep or delete to make room for a new recording. I also pay $8 per month for Netflix and $5 per month for Unblock-Us, on top of cable. 

Can I get everything I want to watch without cable?

Sports is my big thing, and yes, you can get pretty much all the sports you need through the various leagues' streaming services. MLB offers MLB.TV, which may be the most advanced product of the "big four" leagues in North America. They also have a great iOS app. The NFL offers Game Pass, the NHL has GameCenter, and the NBA has Game Time (see a pattern?). Most of them can be watched on your smartphone, tablet, computer, Apple TV, Roku, etc. and with Unblock-Us, you can pretty easily get around local blackout restrictions. I'm reading that NFL Game Pass might be a little more challenging on a mobile device, and to get it on your TV, you may need to use Plex or a similar service. That's where cutting the cord really becomes inconvenient. If you're not a technically savvy person, some of the workarounds you need to do can be confusing and discouraging. I'm confident that will change in the next couple of years, but for now, cutting the cord either means not watching any TV, besides Netflix and purchased content, or it means running a patchwork system of apps and services.

How much can you save by cutting the cord?

Let's say Netflix and Unblock-Us are a wash because you're going to have them either way. So, after that, if you're a sports junkie like me, you'd have to buy the streaming packages for the four major sports leagues. That's going to run you about $600 total for a full season of each. But, keep in mind, that you will get every game with all the league "passes". With regular cable you likely only get a couple of games per day or per Sunday (NFL) to choose from. To get all the games for all the major sports through your cable company (in Canada), you need to pay another $30 per month on top of your cable bill for some kind of "super sports pack" or whatever your cable company calls it. I'm guessing, that for someone who isn't on a retentions cable package, and has subscribed to a pretty normal cable package, plus the super sports pack, their bill is probably about $140 per month. Let's call it $1600 per year. 

So, by cutting the cord, you can get the same amount of sports content through streaming league "passes" and save about $1000 per year, or $80 a month. With that $80 a month you could then purchase television episodes of your favourite shows off of iTunes or Google Play. At about $3 per episode, you could supplement Netflix and streaming sports with about 15 "new" television episodes per month for about $50 and still be $30 a month ahead. I really wish Apple was able to secure a deal to rent TV episodes. You really don't have any need to buy an episode, and $3 is pretty steep for an episode that you'll only watch once. I think 99 cent rentals would be a great idea if they can get the networks to agree. You could also go the pirate route and download television shows and movies using torrents or newsgroups, but I wouldn't recommend that. 

Now, I haven't included any costs for hardware that you might need, but I'm assuming that you already have a computer and a device that lets you stream Netflix to your TV. Apple TV's cost $85 on Apple's refurbished store. Even if you had to buy a piece of hardware, you're still way ahead financially, but it's going to take a little effort. I think it's only that effort, and a lack of knowledge that is keeping most people subscribed to cable. Cable companies are very fortunate, and maybe planned ahead very well, that they are generally also the ISP for most of their cable TV customers. So, although many people hate their cable company, get poor customer service, and pay too much, they are likely still going to retain most of their customers in the long run. We'll see. 

I'm definitely going to cut the cord sometime in the next year, but when I'll officially pull the trigger on that, I'm not sure yet. I'll keep you posted on when and how it goes. 

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pCell Wireless Technology - It's A Big Deal

Marco links to Imran Akbar's excellent — but very long and technical, so skip to the conclusions if you're not into that — piece about how pCell technology works. It was recently demonstrated by Artemis at Columbia University. Pretty amazing. 

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Watch The Oscars On Your iPad

Thanks to iPhone in Canada for posting the news that you can stream the Oscars to your iPhone or iPad using the CTV GO app. This is the first time that CTV has unlocked its app to allow streaming to Canadians who aren't Bell Canada customers since they launched cable authentication back in November. 

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Opt Out of Dropbox's Arbitration Clause

So, I haven't received the email yet, but some of you may have. I'm reading multiple recommendations around the web to opt out. Makes sense to me — read below. I just opted out. 

Daring FireballThe Loop

From clutter:

No matter what they do (delete your data, privacy breach, overcharging, whatever), you don’t get to sue. Instead, THEY get to choose the arbitrator according to whatever criteria they want, and thus any dispute is decided by someone they’re paying.

Also, you can’t join a class-action suit against them. Which sounds like no big deal, but when a company takes advantage of a bunch of people all in the same small way (incorrectly assessing a service charge, for example), class action is how companies are made to clean up their act en masse, instead of waiting for thousands of people to call them up and demand their $20 back or whatever.

The actual link to opt out, here

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Free Money: iTunes Gift Cards 15% Off At Future Shop

Starting tomorrow, Friday, February 28th, Future Shop will be selling iTunes gift cards at 15% off. If you buy apps, music, books, movies on the iTunes/App Store, this is pretty much free money. 

Applies to gift cards of $50 or more. So, buy $50 worth for $42.50 or $100 worth for $85 — not bad. I've seen 20% off several times in the past, but not in the past few months.

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New Moov Fitness Tracker Looks Pretty Cool

Here's The Verge's coverage of the new Moov fitness tracker that was announced today. Basically, it looks like it's going to try to take step and calorie counting to the next level by actually giving you activity suggestions and training advice. I'm interested. 

Also, it looks like right now you can get a better than 50% discount off of the planned retail price. They say one unit will retail for $120, but right now you can order two units for $99.95 or one for $59.95. 

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Warren Buffett Quotes

As I was posting the previous link, I did a quick search to see if there are any stories of Buffett making bad investments. It just seemed to me that everything he touches turns to gold. Anyway, I ended up on a site with some of his quotes. I really liked this one:

"Somebody once said that in looking for people to hire, you look for three qualities: integrity, intelligence, and energy. And if you don't have the first, the other two will kill you. You think about it; it's true. If you hire somebody without [integrity], you really want them to be dumb and lazy."

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Warren Buffett: Price is what you pay; value is what you get.

Another Daring Fireball post here. Fortune has published Warren Buffett's annual shareholders letter where he talks about what can be learned from his real estate investments. One of those investments was a farm in Nebraska:

In 1986, I purchased a 400-acre farm, located 50 miles north of Omaha, from the FDIC. It cost me $280,000, considerably less than what a failed bank had lent against the farm a few years earlier. I knew nothing about operating a farm. But I have a son who loves farming, and I learned from him both how many bushels of corn and soybeans the farm would produce and what the operating expenses would be. From these estimates, I calculated the normalized return from the farm to then be about 10%. I also thought it was likely that productivity would improve over time and that crop prices would move higher as well. Both expectations proved out.

I needed no unusual knowledge or intelligence to conclude that the investment had no downside and potentially had substantial upside. There would, of course, be the occasional bad crop, and prices would sometimes disappoint. But so what? There would be some unusually good years as well, and I would never be under any pressure to sell the property. Now, 28 years later, the farm has tripled its earnings and is worth five times or more what I paid. I still know nothing about farming and recently made just my second visit to the farm.

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More on iOS Games and In-App Purchases

So, I'm a little behind in keeping up with my favourite podcasts, and yesterday, I just listened to Accidental Tech Podcast, Episode 52. In the episode, Casey Liss metions this post by Thomas Baekdal that expands on my earlier post about app pricing models and particularly games that rely on in-app purchases and "pay or wait" tactics for revenue.

In the post, they have two videos of Dungeon Keeper. They have a video of gameplay of the original PC version (1997) of the game that was sold at a fixed price of $5.99, then a second video (review) of Dungeon Keeper for iOS and Android that uses the "pay or wait" model. The second video is painful and contains NSFW language. This is very similar to how Angry Birds GO! operates. You can either wait a very long time, or spend gems/coins/tokens to keep playing right now. And to get more gems, you can earn them very slowly — but you can never earn them fast enough to keep playing — or you can buy them. 

Dungeon Keeper Mobile 2014 - [NSFW, but hilarious]:

John Siracusa offered another take on the proliferation of these crappy games in the ATP, Episode 52. His take is that there are just so many more games out there in this new mobile gaming world where anyone can make a game, that we are bound to have more crap. He also believes that the sheer number of games out there now means we likely have more good games than ever before, too, but that we have to wade through a lot of crap sometimes to find them. Previously, most games were made by large or mid-sized game studios. Now anyone can make a game of varying levels of quality, and it is resulting in a broad range of games available on the App Store.

I agree with his take, but it's still frustrating wading through all that crap. 

That might lead me into another rant that I'll save for another day. Apple needs to fix App Store search and improve its ranking, rating and recommendation system. The current system is very broken.  

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Bitcoin - Joint Statement Regarding MtGox

To follow up on my earlier post, several key players in the Bitcoin industry have released a statement to the Bitcoin community about MtGox. Some of the largest Bitcoin companies are trying to reassure their customers and the general public. The link to the statement on the Coinbase Blog is here

But here is the text of the statement:

The purpose of this document is to summarize a joint statement to the Bitcoin community regarding Mt.Gox.

This tragic violation of the trust of users of Mt.Gox was the result of one company’s actions and does not reflect the resilience or value of bitcoin and the digital currency industry. There are hundreds of trustworthy and responsible companies involved in bitcoin. These companies will continue to build the future of money by making bitcoin more secure and easy to use for consumers and merchants.  As with any new industry, there are certain bad actors that need to be weeded out, and that is what we are seeing today.  Mtgox has confirmed its issues in private discussions with other members of the bitcoin community

We are confident, however, that strong Bitcoin companies, led by highly competent teams and backed by credible investors, will continue to thrive, and to fulfill the promise that bitcoin offers as the future of payment in the Internet age.

In order to re-establish the trust squandered by the failings of Mt. Gox, responsible bitcoin exchanges are working together and are committed to the future of bitcoin and the security of all customer funds. As part of the effort to re-assure customers, the following services will be coordinating efforts over the coming days to publicly reassure customers and the general public that all funds continue to be held in a safe and secure manner: Coinbase, Kraken, BitStamp, Circle, and BTC China.

We strongly believe in transparent, thoughtful, and comprehensive consumer protection measures. We pledge to lead the way.

Bitcoin operators, whether they be exchanges, wallet services or payment providers, play a critical custodial role over the bitcoin they hold as assets for their customers.  Acting as a custodian should require a high-bar, including appropriate security safeguards that are independently audited and tested on a regular basis, adequate balance sheets and reserves as commercial entities, transparent and accountable customer disclosures, and clear policies to not use customer assets for proprietary trading or for margin loans in leveraged trading.

 

The following industry leaders stand by this statement:

 

Fred Ehrsam and Brian Armstrong — Founders of Coinbase

Jesse Powell — CEO of Kraken

Nejc Kodrič — CEO of Bitstamp.net

Bobby Lee — CEO of BTC China

Nicolas Cary — CEO of Blockchain.info

Jeremy Allaire — CEO of Circle

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The Mt. Gox Bitcoin Exchange Has Gone Offline

Their website is a blank white page and re/code is reporting that Mt. Gox will declare bankruptcy. I'm not sure what to make of it just yet. This has been developing for a few weeks, and BTC has been taking a beating as a result. Using the new largest Bitcoin exchange in the world (Bitstamp), as of February 7th, when Mt. Gox halted withdrawals, the price of BTC has dropped from approximately $760 USD to $470 USD, at the time I'm writing this. That's a drop of about 38% in just 17 days.

Bitcoin Chart Feb 24:14.png

My gut feeling is: BTC is on sale, so get buying. 

I think Bitcoin still has a very bright future. I meant what I said previously, Bitcoin is going to be huge. I think this is just a bump in the road. Bitcoin shot up to over $1100 USD around December 1st, and since then has seen huge media coverage and seems to be a popular target for sensationalistic headlines. Every little bit of bad news seems to make big waves and drive further price volatility. 

I think the next 8-10 months will really tell us what the future of Bitcoin is going to look like. Time will tell. 

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Paid, Free or Freemium iOS Apps?

So, I wanted to cover some ground on iOS app pricing strategies. Not all apps are created equal, but also the pricing model can often make the difference between a good experience and a bad one with an app. 

Free apps are just that. No up front cost and no hidden costs down the road. Often, free apps are supported by annoying ads, but it is also common enough to see good free apps with no ads. The common way that apps can afford to be free is if they are part of a bigger business or service. For instance, Facebook, Google, Yahoo, Nike+, etc. Others may offer you the app for free, but will encourage you to sign up for some "pro" version of your service that comes with a monthly or annual fee to unlock those "pro" features. Some that come to mind are Evernote, LinkedIn and Lose It! I would guess that most people stick with the basic app that is perfectly capable for the average user.

Paid apps are apps that have an explicit up front cost, and generally no other hidden costs in the future. This isn't a hard rule, as some apps will have an upfront cost and try to sell you in-app purchases, but most paid apps are a single cost. Great examples of paid apps that are totally worth it include Tweetbot, Launch Center Pro, Reeder, and possibly the most famous paid app of all time, Angry Birds. These apps are all $4.99 or less, they are well worth it, and there are no surprises down the line. Very impressively, the original Angry Birds game — which sold for $0.99 for years — is still getting updates more than 4 years later. Now, I will express a little disappointment in Angry Birds because they did make the switch to freemium several weeks back, but it took them many years to get there. WhatsApp was one of the greatest paid apps ever, before switching to a $1 per year subscription model last year. For $0.99 you could save a lot of money on text messaging, especially back in 2009 when it was launched and iMessage didn't yet exist. 

Freemium apps are apps that have no upfront cost, but you most likely get a very basic version of the app for free and are either subtly or not-so-subtly encouraged to upgrade through in-app purchases. I'm not a big fan of freemium. This pricing strategy annoys me. I find it to be a bit of a shady business model most of the time, especially in the games category. Candy Crush Saga, in addition to being accused of totally ripping of the game from an independent developer (Candy Swipe), is one of the worst types of freemium apps. With a quick Google search, you can find many stories of people spending hundreds of dollars on in-app purchases. Facebook users playing the game are also encouraged to spam their "friends" in order to get more free moves or lives or whatever they call them. As mentioned above, Rovio just moved over to the freemium model with their Angry Birds games. The worst type of freemium model in my opinion is the "pay or wait" model. This is the model for Angry Birds Go, and I hate it. The idea of a Mario Kart-style game is great, but the whole concept of having to pay to play now or wait until your energy builds back up is just terrible. I'll pay you $4.99 if it's a good game, just let me play it continuously. This isn't an 80's or 90's arcade game into which you should have to continually pump quarters. This is the avenue that many game developers seem to be going down lately and it seems to be making some of them a lot of money. But that doesn't mean I have to like it. Minecraft is the number one paid app on the Canadian App Store and they seem to be doing just fine with a one-time $6.99 price tag. Good for them. 

There are a couple of in-app purchases that I don't mind at all. One type is a one-time purchase to remove ads. Perfect. If the ads annoy me and I feel it's worth the $1.99 to get rid of them forever, then I won't hesitate to do it. Especially if I like the app and want to support the developer. Another type of in-app purchase I'm okay with is the donation or tip for the developer. I recently downloaded Pedometer++ for the iPhone and I love the model that Cross Forward is using. You get the whole app for free and there are no ads and no features to unlock, but if you like the app, you can use in-app purchases to give the developer a "Generous Tip" ($0.99), "Massive Tip" ($2.99) or an "Outrageous Tip" ($5.99). Not all freemium apps or apps with in-app purchases are bad, but many are employing the strategy in a manner that ruins the app for me. 

In the end, it's all up to you. My personal preference is to pay a couple of bucks for better apps, instead of using the "good enough" free version. Because, when you're settling for "good enough", is the app really good enough? And, whenever possible, I'll continue to avoid the freemium apps that are trying to suck a lot of money out of me by giving me the app for free and then hitting me up for cash on a frequent basis. And, I like to support the good guys.

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App Store Search Still Sucks After All These Years

This is nothing new, but I wanted to vent a little. I just downloaded Pedometer++ from the App Store on my iPhone. I literally searched for Pedometer++, the exact spelling of the app name and it was the 9th ranked app in my search results. WOW! Perfect spelling of an obscure name — the ++ kinda separates the name from other pedometer apps — and I get 8 other apps listed before the one I'm looking for. Apple, please fix this. 

I'm not holding my breath.

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More 2CELLOS - With or Without You from Pula Arena

Pula Arena is a Roman amphitheatre on which construction began over 2,000 years ago. It's located in Pula, Croatia on the peninsula of Istra. I've been there and it's amazing! You feel like you're standing in a gladiator arena. Oh, and it's a pretty decent song, too. You may have heard of a little band named U2.  

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